Continuous - Time Short Rate Models
نویسنده
چکیده
These notes provide an overview of singleand multi-factor models of the short rate. We will begin with a generic single-factor model where the dynamics of rt under the physical measure, P , are given. Following the approach of Vasicek, we then derive the PDE that must be satisfied by derivative security prices. We then use the martingale approach to give an alternative (and familiar) expression for derivative security prices. The consistency of the two approaches is then demonstrated using the Feynman-Kac PDE representation. We show how the Martingale Representation theorem can be used to construct hedging strategies and then discuss some specific single-factor models. These examples include the Vasicek and CIR models, and more generally, affine models. We then conclude with multi-factor models and describe some specific examples.
منابع مشابه
Overview and Comparison of Short-term Interval Models for Financial Time Series Forecasting
In recent years, various time series models have been proposed for financial markets forecasting. In each case, the accuracy of time series forecasting models are fundamental to make decision and hence the research for improving the effectiveness of forecasting models have been curried on. Many researchers have compared different time series models together in order to determine more efficien...
متن کاملBayesian Analysis of Continuous Time Models of the Australian Short Rate
This paper provides an empirical analysis of a range of alternative single-factor continuous time models for the Australian short-term interest rate. The models are indexed by the level effect parameter for the volatility in the short rate process. The inferential approach adopted is Bayesian, with estimation of the models proceeding via a Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation scheme. Discriminat...
متن کاملA Gaussian approach for continuous time models of the short-term interest rate
This paper proposes a Gaussian estimator for nonlinear continuous time models of the short-term interest rate. The approach is based on a stopping time argument that produces a normalizing transformation facilitating the use of a Gaussian likelihood. A Monte Carlo study shows that the finite-sample performance of the proposed procedure offers an improvement over the discrete approximation metho...
متن کاملGaussian Estimation of Continuous Time Models of the Short Term Interest Rate
This paper proposes a Gaussian estimator for nonlinear continuous time models of the short term interest rate. The approach is based on a stopping time argument that produces a normalizing transformation facilitating the use of a Gaussian likelihood. A Monte Carlo study shows that the finite sample performance of the proposed procedure offers an improvement over the discrete approximation metho...
متن کاملA Gaussian Approach for Continuous Time Models of the Short-term Interest Rate By
This paper proposes a Gaussian estimator for nonlinear continuous time models of the short-term interest rate. The approach is based on a stopping time argument that produces a normalizing transformation facilitating the use of a Gaussian likelihood. A Monte Carlo study shows that the finite-sample performance of the proposed procedure offers an improvement over the discrete approximation metho...
متن کاملEvaluating structural models for the U.S. short rate using EMM and optimal filters
We combine the efficient method of moments with appropriate algorithms from the optimal filtering and signal extraction literature to study a collection of models for the U.S. short rate. Our models include two continuous time stochastic volatility models and two regime switching models, which provided the best fit in previous work that examined a larger collection of models. The continuous tim...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2005